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Es lamentable que una televisión pública mezcle información científica con opinión, falacias fáciles de resolver por estudiantes de primero de carrera con datos científicos. Es más lamentable aún cuando los repetidores de las falacias que niegan el cambio climático actúan cuando el IPCC presenta sus conclusiones en Valencia.
TeleMadrid ha decidido emitir “The Global Warming Swindle"” un documental que intenta negar en la clásica batería de falacias negacionistas del cambio climático (“el clima no se puede preveer”, “el CO2 no pinta casi nada”, “el ser humano no es el causante del aumento de CO2”, “el cambio climático es de origen natural”, “no existe el calentamiento global”). Ya he tratado algunas falacias del documental, pero la gente de Real Climate lo deja algo más claro: http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/07/friday-roundup/ http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/03/swindled-carl-wunsch-responds/ http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/03/swindled/ Todo eso no sirve de nada, para los negacionistas es indiferente lo que se publique en las revistas indexadas, en el Geophysical Research Letters o que los papeles del IPCC estén sometidos al más extricto “Peer-Review” que es como la ciencia elabora el consenso, para ellos un video que puede refutar un estudiante de primero de carrera de geografía o física, una sarta de hechos no demostrables, de argumentos que ya están falseados, de errores y de tergiversaciones sirven más que cualquier papel científico. Pero a veces no es necesaria una batería de argumentos científicos, esta vez me conformaré con reproducir la carta que Carl Wunch, uno de los científicos que supuestamente niegan el cambio climático envió al director de Channel 4, quejándose del documental, el uso de falacias, errores y la manipulación de sus declaraciones. Cuando los mismos expertos que según el documental niegan el cambio climático denuncian la manipulación del documental, habla claramente de la falta de veracidad y honestidad de este. Mr. Steven Green Head of Production Wag TV 2D Leroy House 436 Essex Road London N1 3QP
10 March 2007
Dear Mr. Green:
I am writing to record what I told you on the telephone yesterday about your Channel 4 film "The Global Warming Swindle." Fundamentally, I am the one who was swindled---please read the email below that was sent to me (and re-sent by you). Based upon this email and subsequent telephone conversations, and discussions with the Director, Martin Durkin, I thought I was being asked to appear in a film that would discuss in a balanced way the complicated elements of understanding of climate change--- in the best traditions of British television. Is there any indication in the email evident to an outsider that the product would be so tendentious, so unbalanced?
I was approached, as explained to me on the telephone, because I was known to have been unhappy with some of the more excitable climate-change stories in the British media, most conspicuously the notion that the Gulf Stream could disappear, among others. When a journalist approaches me suggesting a "critical approach" to a technical subject, as the email states, my inference is that we are to discuss which elements are contentious, why they are contentious, and what the arguments are on all sides. To a scientist, "critical" does not mean a hatchet job---it means a thorough-going examination of the science. The scientific subjects described in the email, and in the previous and subsequent telephone conversations, are complicated, worthy of exploration, debate, and an educational effort with the public. Hence my willingness to participate. Had the words "polemic", or "swindle" appeared in these preliminary discussions, I would have instantly declined to be involved.
I spent hours in the interview describing many of the problems of understanding the ocean in climate change, and the ways in which some of the more dramatic elements get exaggerated in the media relative to more realistic, potentially truly catastrophic issues, such as the implications of the oncoming sea level rise. As I made clear, both in the preliminary discussions, and in the interview itself, I believe that global warming is a very serious threat that needs equally serious discussion and no one seeing this film could possibly deduce that.
What we now have is an out-and-out propaganda piece, in which there is not even a gesture toward balance or explanation of why many of the extended inferences drawn in the film are not widely accepted by the scientific community. There are so many examples, it's hard to know where to begin, so I will cite only one: a speaker asserts, as is true, that carbon dioxide is only a small fraction of the atmospheric mass. The viewer is left to infer that means it couldn't really matter. But even a beginning meteorology student could tell you that the relative masses of gases are irrelevant to their effects on radiative balance. A director not intending to produce pure propaganda would have tried to eliminate that piece of disinformation.
An example where my own discussion was grossly distorted by context: I am shown explaining that a warming ocean could expel more carbon dioxide than it absorbs -- thus exacerbating the greenhouse gas buildup in the atmosphere and hence worrisome. It was used in the film, through its context, to imply that CO2 is all natural, coming from the ocean, and that therefore the human element is irrelevant. This use of my remarks, which are literally what I said, comes close to fraud.
I have some experience in dealing with TV and print reporters and do understand something of the ways in which one can be misquoted, quoted out of context, or otherwise misinterpreted. Some of that is inevitable in the press of time or space or in discussions of complicated issues. Never before, however, have I had an experience like this one. My appearance in the "Global Warming Swindle" is deeply embarrasing, and my professional reputation has been damaged. I was duped---an uncomfortable position in which to be.
At a minimum, I ask that the film should never be seen again publicly with my participation included. Channel 4 surely owes an apology to its viewers, and perhaps WAGTV owes something to Channel 4. I will be taking advice as to whether I should proceed to make some more formal protest.
Sincerely,
Carl Wunsch Cecil and Ida Green Professor of Physical Oceanography Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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